Presidential Poll 2024 Pennsylvania Poll. Arizona, north carolina and pennsylvania are three of the key seven swing states that could decide the 2024 presidential election and have 11, 16 and 19 electoral. 538 uses polling, economic and demographic data to explore likely election outcomes.
Abc news project 538 shows harris leading in the national polls with 48.4% to trump’s 45.9% versus the very close pennsylvania poll that has harris at 47.8% and. Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll’s recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.